June 12 Convective Outlook

The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued this convective outlook for Friday June 12, 2008. This convective outlook depicts the possibility of severe thunderstorms. As you can see below, most of the Midwest and Ohio are included in the "SLGT" region, meaning there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, including heavy rain and hail.

SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook. Valid 6-13 1200Z to 6-14 1200Z

According to the SPC forecast:

LARGE SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND 40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET/LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED MCS FROM SERN KS INTO WRN MO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MUCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 30 KT MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE MAINTAINED ENEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY AS STRONG DIFFLUENCE...ASSOCIATED WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF JET MAX... SPREADS FROM SRN MO NEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY.

Current forecasts are calling for a 15-30% probability of severe thunderstorms.